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Michael
Oct 18th 2009, 01:20 PM
How Moody's sold its ratings -- and sold out investors

WASHINGTON -- As the housing market collapsed in late 2007, Moody's Investors Service, whose investment ratings were widely trusted, responded by purging analysts and executives who warned of trouble and promoting those who helped Wall Street plunge the country into its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

A McClatchy investigation has found that Moody's punished executives who questioned why the company was risking its reputation by putting its profits ahead of providing trustworthy ratings for investment offerings.

Instead, Moody's promoted executives who headed its "structured finance" division, which assisted Wall Street in packaging loans into securities for sale to investors. It also stacked its compliance department with the people who awarded the highest ratings to pools of mortgages that soon were downgraded to junk. Such products have another name now: "toxic assets."

Source (http://www.mcclatchydc.com/227/story/77244.html)

Here's the heart of the story...

Moody's was spun off from Dun & Bradstreet in 2000, and the first company shares began trading on Oct. 31 that year at $12.57. Executives set out to erase a conservative corporate culture.

To promote competition, in the 1970s ratings agencies were allowed to switch from having investors pay for ratings to having the issuers of debt pay for them. That led the ratings agencies to compete for business by currying favor with investment banks that would pay handsomely for the ratings they wanted.

Wall Street paid as much as $1 million for some ratings, and ratings agency profits soared. This new revenue stream swamped earnings from ordinary ratings.

"In 2001, Moody's had revenues of $800.7 million; in 2005, they were up to $1.73 billion; and in 2006, $2.037 billion. The exploding profits were fees from packaging . . . and for granting the top-class AAA ratings, which were supposed to mean they were as safe as U.S. government securities,"

That pretty much sums up the tale of Wall Street Ratings Agencies in a nutshell.

Why regulators permitted Ratings Agencies to switch over from charging the investors to charging the issuers of debt vehicles for ratings is beyond me. I suppose it would be reasonable to state that this decision marks the beginning of Wall Street's capture of financial regulation in the USA - putting the foxes in charge of the henhouse. From there, it is a direct line to the market collapse of 2008 (and beyond).

The really scary part comes in the very last paragraph...

Experts such as Columbia University's Coffee think that Congress must impose some legal liability on credit rating agencies. Otherwise, they'll remain "just one more conflicted gatekeeper," and the process of pooling loans — essential to the flow of credit — will remain paralyzed and economic recovery restrained.

"If (credit) remains paralyzed, small banks cannot finance the housing demand. They have to take them (investment banks) these mortgages and move them to a global audience," said Coffee. "That can't happen unless the world trusts the gatekeeper."

You see? Nothing has changed. They are still obsessed with securitization.

Just about every feature and facet of this process has been shown to be filled with fraud, yet the securitization for global resale is still the goal.

As far as I see the issue, so long as 'securitization' is the gaol, 2008-style crisis will be the result - again and again. The short-term profits are just too massive for Wall Street to ignore. Since Uncle Sam is going to pay for the losses, Wall Street has no serious risk against doing exactly the same thing again.

And corrupted ratings agencies are a necessary part of the game.

Americano
Oct 18th 2009, 04:58 PM
Great article. It also stresses the hope that housing will pull the US out of its current economic circumstances, dreamers that they are.

Greendruid
Oct 18th 2009, 11:04 PM
Does anyone have a prediction as to where this will end? What will be the hard limit to this? The bankrupting of the American people? The bankrupting of the government? All things built on the folly of human make-believe come to an end. I just wonder what the end will look like so if some of you more in the know than me can speculate, I'd love to hear about that.

Michael
Oct 19th 2009, 10:27 AM
Great article. It also stresses the hope that housing will pull the US out of its current economic circumstances, dreamers that they are.
I notice that the Columbia University expert cited in the last paragraph makes reference to high levels of "housing demand".

That's bullshit of course.

Small banks supplied all the mortgage financing for decades. System worked fine and didn't have bubbles or collapses - until post 1980 Reagan reforms.

Fact is, small banks cannot finance mortgages at the rate Wall Street needs to maintain Wall Street profit margins.

Some might argue that hyper housing demand isn't a 'problem' that needs to be solved. The world won't end if we don't build one million new McMansions next year that the buyer's themselves can't really afford to pay for anyway.

Americano
Oct 19th 2009, 10:51 AM
I notice that the Columbia University expert cited in the last paragraph makes reference to high levels of "housing demand".

That's bullshit of course.

Small banks supplied all the mortgage financing for decades. System worked fine and didn't have bubbles or collapses - until post 1980 Reagan reforms.

Fact is, small banks cannot finance mortgages at the rate Wall Street needs to maintain Wall Street profit margins.

Some might argue that hyper housing demand isn't a 'problem' that needs to be solved. The world won't end if we don't build one million new McMansions next year that the buyer's themselves can't really afford to pay for anyway.

Not when recently built McMansions are now selling for half or less of their original selling prices. US foreclosures at all levels, not just sub-primes, are setting new records every month.

Americano
Oct 19th 2009, 11:29 AM
Does anyone have a prediction as to where this will end? What will be the hard limit to this? The bankrupting of the American people? The bankrupting of the government? All things built on the folly of human make-believe come to an end. I just wonder what the end will look like so if some of you more in the know than me can speculate, I'd love to hear about that.

An enormous subject! The immediate problem is our (US) currency. As US government securities (and private offerings) have no global demand, we're internalizing our debt by printing more money to make ends meet. Considering USD has lost 13% to the Euro (among others) in just the last 180-days, consumer goods in a net importer nation like the US are going to become very pricey. That will affect the general public standard of living in a negative manner and continue reducing tax revenue at all levels, a serious double-whammy.

The end? As the US is not governed by reasonable logic, your guess is as good as mine. We'll have to see what's left after the MIC and other special interests finish their tasks.

Zarquon
Oct 19th 2009, 01:51 PM
Small banks supplied all the mortgage financing for decades. System worked fine and didn't have bubbles or collapses - until post 1980 Reagan reforms.

Fact is, small banks cannot finance mortgages at the rate Wall Street needs to maintain Wall Street profit margins.

Don't forget the 1999 repeal of the Depression-Era(and commonsense) Glass-Steagall Act (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass-Steagall).

Michael
Oct 19th 2009, 02:31 PM
Don't forget the 1999 repeal of the Depression-Era(and commonsense) Glass-Steagall Act (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass-Steagall).

There are many such signposts along the 'highway to hell'. I agree that's a particularly notable one.

The wave of 'deregulating' financial regulation in the US at both Federal and State levels began mostly in the 1980's under Reagan - that led directly to the Savings & Loan debacle.

After that, it is all just a string of bad decisions added on top of bad decisions. The deregulating craze actually picked up steam under the Clinton Administration (remember Larry Summers?) and then went red-line under Bush43 with all pretense of financial regulation thrown out the window.

And here we are! :)

For all intents and purposes, the financial industry was designed to be exactly the way it is according to long standing government policy. There should be no surprises here. If you design a financial system to be reckless, no oversight, where fraud is always hidden, and assets are nothing more than pieces of paper being traded at a fraction of a second, then no one has any right to act surprised when that system turns out to be reckless, loaded with hidden fraud and insider trading games.

Americano
Oct 19th 2009, 03:37 PM
There are many such signposts along the 'highway to hell'. I agree that's a particularly notable one.

The wave of 'deregulating' financial regulation in the US at both Federal and State levels began mostly in the 1980's under Reagan - that led directly to the Savings & Loan debacle.

After that, it is all just a string of bad decisions added on top of bad decisions. The deregulating craze actually picked up steam under the Clinton Administration (remember Larry Summers?) and then went red-line under Bush43 with all pretense of financial regulation thrown out the window.

And here we are! :)

For all intents and purposes, the financial industry was designed to be exactly the way it is according to long standing government policy. There should be no surprises here. If you design a financial system to be reckless, no oversight, where fraud is always hidden, and assets are nothing more than pieces of paper being traded at a fraction of a second, then no one has any right to act surprised when that system turns out to be reckless, loaded with hidden fraud and insider trading games.

The icing on the cake being when the private sector is encouraged by the government to switch risk to the public sector!

Michael
Oct 20th 2009, 11:34 AM
Actually credit is due to Jimmy Carter for starting the ball rolling on the deregulating fetish/craze/fad that started in the late 1970s. Carter did the airlines and trucking industries (that didn't turn out well either!).